Global Economic and Development Policies

South Centre Inputs on UN Tax Committee, September 2025

South Centre Inputs on 2025-2029 Work Program of the UN Tax Committee

25 September 2025

The United Nations (UN) Secretary-General appointed a new Membership of the UN Tax Committee to hold office from 2025-2029. This includes Members nominated by Brazil, Cambodia, Dominican Republic, India, Jamaica, Liberia, Nigeria and Sierra Leone (all of them are members States of the South Centre). The Committee will hold its first meeting in October in Geneva, Switzerland, and will decide, among other things, the issues they should work on during the tenure of the new members. The Committee also issued a call for inputs to stakeholders to help shape this agenda.

To ensure that the four-year agenda contains topics of importance to South Centre Member States and developing countries more generally, the South Centre made a submission to the Committee which is reproduced below.

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Research Paper 224, 18 August 2025

Reflections on Global Development in Times of Crisis: Arguments in Favour of an Alternate Development Paradigm

By K. Seeta Prabhu

The multiple interlinked and interacting crises that the world faces today is of unprecedented range and magnitude, halting progress and causing even a reversal in crucial Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) relating to well-being. The current situation of an unequal, unstable and unsustainable world that is fragile and leaves people vulnerable on multiple counts, is due to the policy decisions taken by national governments since the post second World War period that gave priority to economic growth and neglected both intra and inter-generational distributional issues. Economic growth was considered the end instead of the means it was meant to be and ‘being well-off’ was equated with ‘well- being’. The tendency to adopt a ‘Business as Usual’ approach is not an option as empirical analysis indicates that such an approach would lead to global warming that is 3–5 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels, which threatens the very existence of the planet. Earlier attempts at reorienting the current development paradigm towards equity and sustainability have not been successful, as exemplified by vaccine distribution during the Covid-19 pandemic, and the limited success of concepts such as inclusive growth and green growth. Often, the elements infusing equity have been add-ons to an inequitable growth process and are more in the nature of token gestures rather than serious efforts at change.

The combined human development and Lifestyle for Environment (LiFE) approach that is proposed in this paper is promising as it has the ethical values of equity and sustainability at its core, propagates the notion of the ‘common good’ and thereby fosters responsible consumption and production. It is also people-centric and builds on indigenous knowledge and agency. The ushering in of this transformational development paradigm will require the forging of a new social contract between the State and Society. Additionally, the developed countries must recognise their responsibility towards the environment and extend support and cooperation to developing countries in the pursuit of a common agenda of attaining a more equal and sustainable world. Increased flow of financial resources to developing countries as well as devising new financing mechanisms enhancing the equity and efficiency dimensions of financing for human development so as to accelerate progress on the SDGs will also be of paramount importance.

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Press Release, 23 July 2025

PRESS STATEMENT

Country-Level Revenue Estimates – A Comparative Analysis of UN and OECD Subject to Tax Rules for 65 Member States of the G-24 and South Centre

Washington and Geneva, 23 July 2025

The South Centre & Group of Twenty-four today jointly released country-level revenue estimates of the UN & OECD Subject to Tax Rule (STTR) for their 65 combined Member States.

Results show higher revenues from UN STTR, and reinforce benefits of a UN Tax Convention.

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SC & G-24 Special Issue 1, July 2025

Comparison of Tax Revenue Effects of United Nations and OECD Subject to Tax Rule for G-24 and South Centre Member States

By Faith Amaro and Sol Picciotto

The Subject to Tax Rule (STTR) seeks to address the historical imbalance in the allocation of taxing rights under international tax treaties by introducing within existing treaties a new article which makes the restrictions on source taxation conditional on the residence jurisdiction imposing a minimum level of tax on foreign-derived income. This paper presents a methodology for analysing the respective benefits of the STTRs developed by the Organisation of Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and the United Nations (UN). Applying this model to publicly available data for 2021, it also provides estimates of the possible revenue impact for the 65 Member States of the South Centre (SC) and the Intergovernmental Group of 24 (G-24). Our analysis indicates that the OECD STTR would have no impact on any OECD country treaty with a SC/G-24 Member State. Applying the prescribed 9% minimum rate to covered payments, only 100 treaties across 28 SC/G-24 Member States would qualify for improvement under the OECD STTR, with an estimated combined revenue gain of USD 55.6 million, 71% of which is concentrated in just five treaties. In contrast, the UN STTR, which does not specify a minimum rate, was modelled using rates of 9%, 10% and 15%. This resulted in estimated revenue gains of USD 212 million, USD 325 million, and USD 1,165 million across 171, 210 and 317 treaties, respectively. Given its complexity and restrictive scope, it seems pointless for any SC/G-24 Member State to join the OECD STTR. Instead, countries should focus on identifying treaties that cause unjustifiable revenue losses and consider revising them – either by adopting the simpler and broader UN STTR or implementing other measures such as active anti-abuse provisions to combat treaty shopping and tax avoidance.

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SC & G-24 Special Issue 2, July 2025

Analysing the Impact of UN and OECD Subject to Tax Rule for G-24 and South Centre Member States

By Suranjali Tandon and Chetan Rao

The Subject to Tax Rule (STTR) is meant to address base erosion and profit shifting in cross –border transactions. The United Nations (UN) and Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)/Group of Twenty (G20) Inclusive Framework have developed models of the STTR that countries may choose to adopt in their treaties. This paper provides a review of these designs of two STTR models and proceeds to estimate the revenue gains for the Intergovernmental Group of Twenty-Four on International Monetary Affairs and Development (G-24) and South Centre Member States that may arise from a STTR that covers different kinds of payments. The OECD STTR is limited to related-party payments and imposes thresholds based on mark-up and materiality, reducing its applicability in practice. In contrast, the UN STTR offers broader coverage, applies to both related and unrelated parties, and does not impose restrictive thresholds, making it more administratively feasible for developing countries. Although the estimated gains from the OECD STTR appear modest due to its narrow scope, the UN STTR shows greater potential. The analysis also highlights data limitations and the need for access to microdata for accurate country-level assessments.

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SC Inputs on Draft Issues Notes on UNFCITC, 11 July 2025

South Centre Inputs on the Draft Issues Notes on the UN Framework Convention on International Tax Cooperation

11 July 2025

In preparation for the First and Second Sessions of the Intergovernmental Negotiating Committee (INC) on the United Nations Framework Convention on International Tax Cooperation (UNFCITC) to be held in August 2025, the Co-Leads of each of the three Workstreams have released Draft Issues Notes for public comments. The Issues Notes are meant to provide direction on the content of the UNFCITC and its two early protocols on services and dispute prevention and resolution.

There are three Issues Notes:

1. Workstream I on the framework convention

2. Workstream II on the taxation of services

3. Workstream III on dispute prevention and resolution

The South Centre submitted inputs on all three Issues Notes on 11 July 2025 which are reproduced below:

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SC Statement – FFD4 DRM Seville Declaration Side Event, 1 July 2025

Domestic Revenue Mobilisation at the Heart of Sustainable Development: the Seville Declaration

Side-event at the Fourth Financing for Development Conference (FFD4), co-hosted by the South Centre, EU Commission, Germany and Nigeria

High Level Statement by Dr. Carlos Correa, Executive Director of the South Centre

Addis Tax Initiative (ATI) member the South Centre co-organized an event with fellow members the EU Commission, Nigeria and Germany at FFD4 on ‘Domestic Revenue Mobilisation at the Heart of Sustainable Development: the Seville Declaration’. Here are the remarks of Dr. Carlos Correa, Executive Director of the South Centre at the event.

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South Centre Statement at FfD4, 30 June – 3 July 2025

South Centre Statement on the Fourth International Conference on Financing for Development

Seville, Spain, 30 June – 3 July 2025

The international financial architecture continues to reflect a global order that existed eight decades ago. An urgent, comprehensive reform is needed to make such order responsive to the financing needs of developing countries in the 21st century.

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SouthViews No. 289, 30 June 2025

Book Review: What Do We Know and What Should We Do About Tax Justice

By Abdul Muheet Chowdhary

The book What Do We Know and What Should We Do About Tax Justice, written by Alex Cobham, CEO of the Tax Justice Network, is an excellent summary of the state of knowledge on tax justice and provides a clear direction on what should be the goals of the tax justice movement going forward.

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Research Paper 220, 25 June 2025

Harnessing Open Account Trade — A Major Enabler for Illicit Financial Flows from Developing Countries

Can blockchain technology come to the rescue? Will the African Continental Free Trade Area leverage its Digital Trade Protocol?

By Yuefen Li

The current geopolitical landscape has made domestic resource mobilization an even more important imperative for developing countries. In this context, it is more urgent than ever to combat illicit financial flows (IFFs) whose staggering amount from developing countries has outstrippedthe combinedsum of official development assistance (ODA) and foreign direct investment (FDI)going into the developing world. The IFFs from the financial channel is significant, but the greater proportion of IFFs actually stems from trade channels rather than from financial channels. It is particularly concerning that the flexibility and legitimacy of international trade have been exploited to cover IFFs. Trade mis-invoicing is the largest component of IFFs from developing countries. A major reason for trade being used to undertake illicit, fraudulent or criminal activities is because 80%-85% of the more than US$ 24 trillion international trade is conducted via open account trade (OAT), which has minimum scrutiny as it is conducted on a bilateral basis between the importer and exporter, not transparent and with minimal involvement of the financial institutions and customs authorities. OAT payment does not require documents to prove quality, quantity and other information about the product being shipped and is made through automatic payment systems which lack the oversight provided by any third party. OAT gives trade mis-invoicing great ease, flexibility, minimal cost and minimal risk. Therefore, if the world is serious about combatting IFFs, it is urgent and imperative to close loopholes in the OAT for IFFs, making it transparent, trackable and involving third party monitoring and scrutiny. The functionalities and features of Blockchain technology (BCT), though its implementation is still nascent, can be a good candidate to make OAT more modern, transparent to regulators, traceable, more efficient and above all minimize IFFs. The goals of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA)’s Digital Trade Protocol (DTP) include boosting intra-African trade through unifying and harmonizing regulatory framework for Africa’s digital economy and regional trade, promoting cross-border data flows and paperless trade, and enhancing cybersecurity measures. The exploration of Blockchain adoption to reduce OAT’s risks for IFFs and make trade more effective aligns well with DTP’s goals. 

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Research Paper 219, 16 June 2025

Reducing the Cost of Remittances – A Priority for the Global South

By Danish

Remittances are a lifeline for many households in low and middle income countries (LMICs), and have emerged as an important source of external financing for sustainable development. With over 800 million people dependent on remittances worldwide, their importance for developing and least developed countries is well established. However, the high cost of remittances remains a significant challenge, and despite global commitments to reduce these costs, progress has slowed down. 

This paper thus provides an assessment of the current drivers of remittance costs and explores the relevant policy discussions and initiatives at the United Nations (UN) and Group of Twenty (G20). It further highlights the continuing challenges as well as the innovative solutions such as increasing digitalisation and development of cross-border fast payment systems in different regions of the global South. The upcoming Fourth International Conference on Financing for Development (FfD4) and G20 initiatives under South Africa’s Presidency present important opportunities for the international community to redouble its efforts and make concrete, ambitious commitments to lower the cost of remittances. Finally, the paper provides some relevant policy considerations and recommendations, especially to accelerate the implementation of existing commitments, leverage digital public infrastructure and to discourage levying of taxes on remittance flows to developing countries. 

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SC & IDEAs FfD4 Side Event, 2 July 2025

Reform of the International Debt Architecture: A Developing Country Perspective on Credit Rating Agencies and Financing for Sustainable Development

FfD4 Side Event Co-Organized by IDEAs and South Centre

2 July 2025, 12:30 – 14:00, Room Side Event 17,

FIBES Sevilla Exhibition & Conference Centre, Seville, Spain

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