Capital Flows to Developing Countries in a Historical Perspective: Will the Current Boom End With a Bust?.
The paper argues that the policy of quantitative easing and close-to-zero interest rates in advanced economies, notably the US, are generating a surge in speculative capital flows to developing countries in search for yield and creating bubbles in foreign exchange, asset, credit and commodity markets. (more…)
A South Centre report suggests the reforms needed in the global financial and monetary system.
The current turmoil in the world economy has demonstrated once again that the international arrangements lack mechanisms to prevent financial crises with global repercussions. Not only are effective rules and regulations absent to bring inherently unstable international financial market and capital flows under control, (more…)
A South Centre report argues that the IMF should focus on crisis prevention not crisis lending.
The record of the IMF in preventing financial instability and crises leaves much to be desired. The period since the breakdown of the Bretton Woods arrangements has seen repeated gyrations in exchange rates of major currencies, persistent and growing trade imbalances, recurrent balance-of-payments, debt and financial crises with global repercussions in both emerging and mature economies. (more…)
Launching of South Centre report on the eve of the G-20 Summit: “Why the IMF and the International Monetary System Need More Than Cosmetic Reform”.
The hopes of a rapid global economy recovery have recently been dashed by renewed turmoil in the world economy. The sovereign debt problems in several European countries, the gyrations in currency exchange rates, volatility in capital flows, and the war of words among major economies over “trade sanctions” and “competitive devaluations” are some of the many troubling signs of a new crisis (more…)
China’s Trade Surplus with United States is over-rated as less than a third of the export value is retained in China.
China has come under criticism in the United States for having a large trade surplus with the US. In reality, little of the gross surplus (as little as 30%) is retained in China. Thus, the trade surplus that China enjoys with the United States is over-rated. (more…)
Due to Global Crisis, China and East Asia Need to Rethink Their Growth Strategy.
Using new methods of calculation, the South Centre assesses that China has been much more deeply dependent on exports for its growth that previously estimated. The Centre estimates that exports contribute about 50% of China’s recent pre-crisis growth. This high export dependence makes China more vulnerable than normally perceived to the slowdown in the US and Europe. (more…)
The Impact of the Global Economic Crisis on Industrial Development of Least Developed Countries.
The South Centre has released a Research Paper which examines the impact of the external shocks from the global economic crisis on industrial development of Least Developed Countries (LDCs). These countries are heavily exposed to external shocks because of their extensive trade with the rest of the world. Yet, they are marginalized in terms of their share in international trade and output. (more…)
South Centre Proposes Policies Towards Sustainable Global Economic Recovery.
The South Centre has published a paper analysing current weaknesses and imbalances in the global economy and in the major countries. It also makes proposals on what needs to be done to achieve a global economic recovery. (more…)
Export Dependence and Sustainability of Growth in China and the East Asian Production Network.
The South Centre has published a research paper by its Special Economic Advisor and Chief Economist Yilmaz Akyuz, addressing export dependence and their contribution to growth in China and its supplier developing economies in East Asia, in the context of re-examining their growth strategies in light of the global economic crisis and medium term global growth prospects. (more…)
Global Economic Prospects: The Recession May Be Over But Where Next?.
The South Centre releases a new research paper which throws interesting light on the global economic imbalances, the situation in the major countries, and what needs to be done. (more…)
The Global Financial Crisis and India.
The financial crisis, which assumed global pro- portions in 2008, is, at the time of writing, far from over. In fact, many facets of the crisis are still unfolding, while many of the policy responses are yet to bear fruit and the road to recovery is uncer- tain. (more…)
Policy Response to the Global Financial Crisis: Key Issues for Developing Countries.
This new paper, authored by the Centre’s Special Economic Advisor, Dr Yilmaz Akyuz, deals with the global financial crisis and developing countries. The first part is on what is needed to support the required policy response in developing countries. The second part is on the required reform to the international financial architecture. A summary of policy conclusions and proposals is at the end. (more…)
